Relationship Between Organic Farmland Expansion and Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Europe: Implications for the Implementation of the Sustainable Development Goals

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dc.contributor.authorSerhii Kozlovskyi, Vasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University, Vinnytsia, Ukraine
dc.contributor.authorIvan Zayukov, Vinnytsia Institute of Trade and Economics of State University of Trade and Economics, Vinnytsia, Ukraine
dc.contributor.authorVolodymyr Kozlovskyi, Vinnytsia National Technical University, Vinnytsia, Ukraine
dc.contributor.authorOleksandr Tregubov, Vasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University, Vinnytsia, Ukraine
dc.contributor.authorSviatoslav Storchak, Vasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University, Vinnytsia, Ukraine
dc.contributor.authorViktor Mishchenko, Vasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University, Vinnytsia, Ukraine
dc.contributor.authorRuslan Lavrov, T. H. Shevchenko National University, Chernihiv Colehium, Chernihiv, Ukraine
dc.date.accessioned2026-01-05T13:59:42Z
dc.date.available2026-01-05T13:59:42Z
dc.date.issued2025
dc.description.abstractThe global community is endeavouring to achieve the ambitious Sustainable Development Goals. A significant aspect of the implementation of the Goals is the introduction of organic production in agriculture. This will con-tribute, among other things, to zero hunger (Goal 2); the provision of humanity with alternative energy sources (Goal 7); the development of innovative solutions (Goal 9); the motivation of the population to consume respon-sibly, including food (Goal 12); the combating of climate change (Goal 13); and the preservation of ecosystems both on land and below water (Goals 14-15). An important area of implementation of all the seventeen goals is the introduction of organic production in agriculture. This will contribute to providing the population with food; im-proving public health; overcoming the problems related to hunger, poverty, poor health, limited clean drinking water, energy shortages, depletion of natural resources, climate change, and pollution of both aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems. The EU-27 countries need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to zero by 2050, which exacerbates the issue. For this reason, the paper hypothesizes that organic farmland expansion will potentially result in an increase in greenhouse gas emissions. Accordingly, the purpose of the paper is to conduct empirical research into the impact of organic farmland expansion on the increase in greenhouse gas emissions in the EU. The correlation and regression analysis based individual European countries demonstrated that the majority of European countries exhibit a high degree of cor-relation. According to data from all EU Member States (27), the relationship is strong and directly proportional. It was found that with an increase in the area of organic farmland by 1% in the EU27, greenhouse gas emissions will increase by 0.00000025 thousand tons. The calculations revealed that ceteris paribus, greenhouse gas emis-sions are influenced by the expansion of organic farmland by 62.4%. Among the European countries under study, similar trends are observed in Denmark, Germany, Estonia, Spain, the Netherlands, Portugal, Romania, Finland, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom. Meanwhile, in Lithuania and the Netherlands, the relationship is inversely proportional. Weak correlation, as evidenced by the calculated correlation coefficient, is observed in such Euro-pean countries as Bulgaria (0.05); Poland (0.02); Slovakia (0.05). To implement the Sustainable Development Goals, it is recommended to take measures to change the culture of food consumption; to use agricultural technol-ogies, methods, equipment, machinery and mechanisms more efficiently; and to rationally use the waste.on the use of available Eurostat statistics for the period 2014-2021 for selected individual European countries demonstrated that the majority of European countries exhibit a high degree of cor-relation. According to data from all EU Member States (27), the relationship is strong and directly proportional. It was found that with an increase in the area of organic farmland by 1% in the EU27, greenhouse gas emissions will increase by 0.00000025 thousand tons. The calculations revealed that ceteris paribus, greenhouse gas emis-sions are influenced by the expansion of organic farmland by 62.4%. Among the European countries under study, similar trends are observed in Denmark, Germany, Estonia, Spain, the Netherlands, Portugal, Romania, Finland, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom. Meanwhile, in Lithuania and the Netherlands, the relationship is inversely proportional. Weak correlation, as evidenced by the calculated correlation coefficient, is observed in such Euro-pean countries as Bulgaria (0.05); Poland (0.02); Slovakia (0.05). To implement the Sustainable Development Goals, it is recommended to take measures to change the culture of food consumption; to use agricultural technol-ogies, methods, equipment, machinery and mechanisms more efficiently; and to rationally use the waste.
dc.identifier.uriDOI: 10.35784/preko.6337
dc.identifier.urihttps://r2.donnu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/4105
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherДніпро: Національний гірничий університет України
dc.relation.ispartofseriesProblemy Ekorozwoju/Problems of Sustainable Development; 1/2025, 159-173
dc.subjectsustainable developmenten
dc.subjectorganic productionen
dc.subjectgreenhouse gasesen
dc.subjectmodelen
dc.subjectcorrelation and regression analysisen
dc.subjecteconomic securityen
dc.subjectfood securityen
dc.subjectagricultural sectoren
dc.subjectecologyen
dc.subjectinternational economicsen
dc.subjectEuropeen
dc.titleRelationship Between Organic Farmland Expansion and Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Europe: Implications for the Implementation of the Sustainable Development Goals
dc.title.alternativeZwiązek pomiędzy ekspansją ekologicznych gruntów rolnych a emisją gazów cieplarnianych w Europie w kontekście wdrażania Celów zrównoważonego rozwoju
dc.typeArticle
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